Odds Of Winning Blackjack Against Dealer

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jamo1599

When you play blackjack, you have some incomplete information to base your playing decisions on.You know the value of your two cards and you know the value of the dealer’s up card. You don’t know what the dealer’s hole card is and you don’t know what the next card out of the shoe will be. Best Software Platforms for Live Online Blackjack. Playtech has several types of blackjack tables, but the following rules apply for the regular table: 8 decks are used, dealer stands on all 17s, you can double after a split or any 2 cards, you can’t hit split Aces, there are no re-splits, insurance is offered and 10 card Charlie applies.

I’m pretty sure that I’ve read some place that it doesn’t make any difference if you play alone or with multiple people. However, when playing alone with the dealer, wouldn’t I stand a better chance of getting more black jacks and thus making more money? If I were playing with two other people plus the dealer my chance of a black jack should be 25%? If playing heads up my percentage should go up to 50%. Then if I played heads up while playing two hands my chance of getting a black jack should go up to 66.6%. The other way I was thinking about it was that the dealer should have a much smaller chance at black jacks with a full table which should benefit me. Are either of those thoughts correct?
FleaStiff
Alone its 210 hands per minute. At a full table is 60 to 70 hands per minute.
As far as blackjacks go, which would you prefer get them: another player or the dealer?
MangoJ
Take two dices, and roll. Each time you roll a 12 in sum, you have a 'blackjack'.
Then every other one on the table rolls the dices.
Is your chance of having a blackjack increased or reduced by the presence of the other people ? NO.
jamo1599
If each player is rolling dice, that is kind of like assuming each player is drawing cards out of their own shoe. If you and i are both sitting at a table and you and the dealer both have an ace showing, my chance of getting an ace is reduced. If I'm playing two break even hands against the dealer doesn't my bank roll as a whole stand a little better chance?
s2dbaker

I’m pretty sure that I’ve read some place that it doesn’t make any difference if you play alone or with multiple people. However, when playing alone with the dealer, wouldn’t I stand a better chance of getting more black jacks and thus making more money? If I were playing with two other people plus the dealer my chance of a black jack should be 25%? If playing heads up my percentage should go up to 50%. Then if I played heads up while playing two hands my chance of getting a black jack should go up to 66.6%. The other way I was thinking about it was that the dealer should have a much smaller chance at black jacks with a full table which should benefit me. Are either of those thoughts correct?

the odds of getting a blackjack are not affected by the number of players at the table. You still get two randomly shuffled cards from the deck whether the other cards go to other players or remain in the shoe.
Someday, joor goin' to see the name of Googie Gomez in lights and joor goin' to say to joorself, 'Was that her?' and then joor goin' to answer to joorself, 'That was her!' But you know somethin' mister? I was always her yuss nobody knows it! - Googie Gomez
Odds Of Winning Blackjack Against Dealer
DJTeddyBear
Let's say there are 6 BJs in the shoe waiting to be dealt. Obviously, they don't all come out at once, but you and whoever is sitting with you is playing for the duration of the shoe.
If you're sitting with 4 people, then you'll get one, the other people also get one each, and the dealer gets one.
If you're sitting alone, then you and the dealer will each get three.
In both scenarios, you and the dealer got the same number of BJs, just more of them when sitting alone, so it doesn't matter.
Betting two hands doesn't help. In that case, you'll get four BJs, and the dealer will get two. But each of those two will beat both of your hands, so it's still the same: four wins and four losses.
Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown. But how much does it cost to knock on wood? 😁 Note that the same could be said for Religion. I.E. Religion is nothing more than organized superstition. 🤗
s2dbaker
Odds Of Winning Blackjack Against Dealer

Let's say there are 6 BJs in the shoe waiting to be dealt

you know of course why that won't happen for the same shoe dealt out to 4 players and dealer vs. 1 player and a dealer. The cards will come out in a different combination of hands. But otherwise the analogy is sound.
Someday, joor goin' to see the name of Googie Gomez in lights and joor goin' to say to joorself, 'Was that her?' and then joor goin' to answer to joorself, 'That was her!' But you know somethin' mister? I was always her yuss nobody knows it! - Googie Gomez
Ravzar
I will always play on a full table, if possiblem for a few reasons.
The first is that I get to play for longer on my bankroll and I am playing to break even after a nice steak dinner and a few drinks and not to actually make any money. I just want to play, have fun, and have a good night out and meet people and not have to pay for it.
The second is a social aspect. The more people there are at the table, the more people I can interact with.
Thirdly, if it is a full table I get a bit longer to decide what I should do according to the basic strategy as I am a beginner. If a few people have their go before me then I have a longer time to make a decision.
Fourthly, if I am counting aces and fives, I have a longer time to do so at a full table sitting at the end. It helps because I am just starting out with blackjack and I like to have a bit more time to consider things.
Fifthly, the more people at the table and the more people I interact with, the less suspicious card counting is. Obviously, since I am not very good at blackjack yet, counting aces and fives isn't that suspicious. Talking to people makes it easier to conceal. Often I will have a jim beam in my hand (and have it for a while taking tiny tips out of the bottle) and act a little drunk so when someone gets like double 5s I congratulate them on a fantastic hand (making it also easier for me to calculate when I verbally announce double fives). Because unsolicited congrats are socially acceptable in Australia, no one pays any mind to the fact.
RussHaley

Alone its 210 hands per minute. At a full table is 60 to 70 hands per minute.


Pretty sure that would be a record..
buzzpaff

Odds Of Winning Blackjack Against Dealer Las Vegas

If anything that might be a little low. And some speedy dealers would be insulted if their numbers were that low.

Odds Of Winning Blackjack Against Dealer Number


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Blackjack Probability and Blackjack Odds

To fully understand the game of blackjack, you must understand and master blackjack odds. It's crucial to know how the casino gains its edge and how it helps them win. It's also important to understand blackjack odds such as the odds of hitting a 10 or the odds of being dealt a blackjack. You can read over these blackjack odds charts to help understand the logistics behind blackjack.

Odds Of Winning Blackjack Hands

Casino and Dealer Advantage in Blackjack

In most casino games of blackjack, the house advantage (the dealer advantage) is ~ 8%. The house gets this advantage by the dealer being the last player to act. By acting last, all other players have already made their decisions and could quite possibly bust before the dealer has his turn.

By using correct blackjack basic strategy, you can turn the casino edge in blackjack from 7%-8% down to 0.5%. If you correctly use advanced card counting techniques, you can often change blackjack odds and give yourself the advantage over the casino. Manipulating the house odds to your favor is the reason most casinos don't allow card counters to play blackjack.

Probability of Busting on a Hit

It's very important to know the probability of your hand busting when you are holding any total in the game of blackjack. The following odds chart shows the blackjack odds of busting, depending on your current hand value:

Hand Value% Bust If You Hit
21100%
2092%
1985%
1877%
1769%
1662%
1558%
1456%
1339%
1231%
11 or Less0%

Two-Card Count Frequencies

This interesting blackjack odds chart is the two card count frequency chart. This chart shows the percentage chance that you will be dealt a hand in each given value range. The most important frequencey to note is the chance of being dealt a natural blackjack (natural 21 value. The odds of being dealt a natural blackjack are merely 4.8%. Following this chart you will see that the most common two card hand, at 38.7%, is a hand totaling 1-16, which is considered a decision hand.

Two Card Count% Frequency
Natural 214.8%
Hard Standing (17-20)30.0 %
Decision Hands (1-16)38.7%
No Bust26.5%
TOTAL100.0%

Dealer Final Hand Probabilities

This blackjack odds chart shows the dealer final hand probability. These are the percentages that the dealer will end up with a hand totaling each corresponding value (up to 16). Read over this chart to understand the odds that the dealer has to make his final hand.

Dealer Final Hand Value%Cumulative % Total
Natural 214.82%4.83%
21 (3 or More Cards)7.36%12.19%
2017.58%29.77%
1913.48%43.25%
1813.81%57.06%
1714.58%71.64%
1628.36%100.00%

Player Advantage vs. Dealer Up Card

The first two columns in this odds chart explain the dealer's chance of busting, depending on the up card that he is showing. You should note that the dealer has the highest chance of busting when he is showing a 5. The third column in this chart shows the player advantage of using basic strategy, compared to each up card the dealer is showing. You can see that the player has the highest advantage of 23.9%, when the dealer is showing a 5. When the dealer is showing any card that is 9 value or higher, the player is in the negative advantage range.

Dealer Up CardDealer Bust %Player Advantage % with Basic Strategy
235.30%9.8%
337.56%13.4%
440.28%18.0%
542.89%23.2%
642.08%23.9%
725.99%14.3%
823.86%5.4%
923.34%-4.3%
J,Q,K21.43%-16.9%
A11.65%-16.0%

Effects of Removing Cards from a Deck

When looking at the odds of removing certain cards from a 52-card deck, some cards have a much greater effect on blackjack odds. To create the strongest card counting system ever invented, you would have to incorporate all of these slight and subtle differences into the numbers to be a completely accurate system.

Removing every 5 from a deck cards would make the largest impact of improving your blackjack odds, as a player. On the other hand, removing every Ace from a deck of cards would make the largest impact on improving the odds for the casino.

Card% Effect of Removal
20.40%
30.43%
40.52%
50.67%
60.45%
70.30%
80.01%
9-0.15%
10-0.51%
A-0.59%

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